Being Early is as good as being wrong

In trading, timing is paramount. Entering a trade early, before the move is the same as being wrong about its direction.

I entered my GBPCAD long trade yesterday, but in the middle of the night my stop-loss was triggered. Ultimately the pair did trade in the direction I initially thought it would, but not before a big pullback. Timing my entry better could have made this trade a profitable one.

Here is the post-mortem of the trade

chart

GBPCAD Long on a Break out

When it comes to trading Forex exchange I like to trade a weak pair vs strong pair. I want to go long GBPCAD I want to some confirmation that the market has a bullish bias on the GBP and a bearish bias on the CAD.

Bristish Pound with bullish bias

  • GBPUSD Daily GBPUSDDAILY06112013
  • GBPAUD daily GBPAUDDAILY06112013

Canadian Dollar bearish bias

  • USDCAD Daily USDCADDAILY06112013

Long GBPCAD

With the strengh of the GBP and the weakness of the CAD, I entered a long position on the GBPCAD.

  • Entry : 1.59662
  • Profit Target : 1.5995
  • Stop-Loss : 1.5927

GBPCAD06112013

Trade Summary - June 6, 20

Novagold was a name on my watchlist that I decided to play after it had a nice run up from $2.30 to $2.50. While the momentum was still trending to the upside I jumped on for a nice week long swing trade.

Comment

The Pairs I'm looking at this week

It’s sunday night and it’s always a great time to review the trades of the past week and prepare for the upcoming week.

France lost its AAA credit rating. Although it is no surprise to many traders, the price of many currencies have not expressed this news yet. 

  • AUD/USD is consolidating. most likely a short might be a better idea if the price breaks the lower trend line. I don’t have an entry point because I can’t figure out where to put a stop yet.
  • I will be keeping an eye on CAD/JPY. I got stopped out last week but I think it’s reverting back the mean. 
  • CHF/JPY is setting up for a long IF support holds around 80.10
  • GBP/CAD has been retracing over the past couple of days, however the price did not reflect the France downgrade yet. I believe that a short might a good move if we can get an entry around 1.5720 with a stop-loss at 1.5790 

Trade the market you see, not the one you want!

Good trading this week

Source: http://www.palomnas.com